欧洲复兴开发银行大幅下调2025年斯洛文尼亚GDP增长预测

Group 1 - The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has downgraded Slovenia's GDP growth forecast for 2025 from 1.9% to 0.7%, marking the third consecutive downgrade [1] - Slovenia's economic growth significantly slowed in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year increase of only 0.1%, compared to 1.7% in the same period last year, primarily due to declines in investment and industrial production [1] - Despite a negative growth in the first quarter, household consumption was stimulated by real wage growth and low unemployment, leading to enhanced investment activity in the second quarter [1] Group 2 - The EBRD predicts that international financial institution investment growth will be the main driver for Slovenia's economic recovery in 2026 [1] - Slovenia, as a highly open economy, is indirectly affected by the U.S. tariffs on EU and Swiss goods, which poses uncertainties for trade policies [1] - The EBRD forecasts an average growth rate of 2.4% for Central and Eastern European countries this year, with Croatia and Poland expected to have the highest growth rates, both projected to exceed 3% this year [2]