重演1997年金融危机？特朗普向韩国递出3500亿账单，遭李在明拒绝

Core Viewpoint - The unexpected demand from the U.S. for a $350 billion cash payment from South Korea has raised concerns about the potential for a financial crisis reminiscent of the 1997 Asian financial crisis, as this amount represents 84% of South Korea's foreign exchange reserves [1][9][11]. Group 1: Background and Initial Agreement - In July, South Korea and the U.S. verbally reached a trade agreement, with South Korea expecting a flexible funding approach primarily through loans, guarantees, and equity cooperation, with cash being a minor part [3][5]. - The sudden shift in the U.S. stance, demanding a full cash payment, caught the South Korean government off guard [3][5]. Group 2: South Korea's Response - South Korea's National Security Advisor explicitly stated that the country cannot pay the $350 billion in cash, indicating a firm stance against the U.S. demand [7]. - President Lee Jae-myung warned that complying with the payment could lead to a repeat of the 1997 financial crisis, emphasizing the critical nature of the country's foreign exchange reserves [9][11]. Group 3: U.S. Financial Context - The U.S. is under significant financial pressure, with national debt exceeding $36 trillion and annual interest payments nearing $900 billion, prompting the demand for cash from allies like South Korea [13][15]. - The U.S. administration views the request for cash as a justified expectation from allies who benefit from U.S. military protection [15][41]. Group 4: Changing Dynamics in International Relations - The demand for cash from South Korea reflects a broader shift in the nature of U.S. alliances, moving from mutual political support to direct economic contributions [39][41]. - Other countries, including Germany and Australia, have also begun to push back against U.S. financial demands, indicating a potential shift in traditional ally relationships [29][39]. Group 5: Implications for Future Cooperation - The situation has led to a significant public backlash in South Korea, with over 72% of respondents opposing the use of foreign exchange reserves to meet U.S. demands [33]. - The ongoing dispute may lead to a re-evaluation of foreign direct investment flows in the Asia-Pacific region, as countries seek to diversify their international partnerships [37][48].