Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-02 01:21Group 1 - Cathay Pacific maintains "buy" rating for Air China (601111) (00753), expecting the company to turn profitable in Q2 2025, with potential for upward profit momentum in the next two years if commercial demand recovers sustainably [1][2] - The company reported a net loss of 1.8 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a reduction of nearly 1 billion yuan year-on-year, with Q2 showing a profit of 238 million yuan due to recovering commercial demand and reduced fuel costs [2] - The company plans to raise 16 billion yuan through equity financing, maintaining its controlling stake in Shenzhen Airlines, which will help alleviate debt burdens and improve profitability [3] Group 2 - Air China's network and customer base have significantly improved, with the company poised for an upward shift in profit margins as commercial demand stabilizes [4] - The airline's strategic decision to retain operations at the capital airport has further optimized its customer base, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [4] - The overall aviation market is entering a low growth phase, and with the recovery of commercial demand, Air China is expected to see a substantial increase in profitability [4]