中信里昂:维持敏华控股“跑赢大市”评级 目标价升至5港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-02 02:58

Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities raised the target price for Minhua Holdings (01999) by 11% from HKD 4.5 to HKD 5, maintaining an "outperform" rating despite weak domestic demand [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Minhua achieved stable base profits in FY2025, attributed to margin improvements [1] - The company’s overseas sales showed resilience, helping to mitigate the impact of US tariffs due to its global production base [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Continuous efficiency optimization and increased overseas capacity are expected to stabilize profits in the short term [1] - Minhua is anticipated to benefit from a potential stabilization in domestic demand in 2026 [1] Group 3: Profit Forecast Adjustments - CITIC Securities adjusted net profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 down by 7.1% and 7.5% respectively, reflecting lower sales assumptions and tariffs [1] - The valuation was rolled forward to 2027 with a higher price-to-earnings ratio of 8.8 times, up from 7.5 times, which is below the three-year average by 0.5 standard deviations [1]