高盛：私人投资者兴趣浓厚 黄金涨势远未结束

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs maintains a long-term bullish outlook on gold, indicating that prices may rise further due to strong interest from private investors, potentially exceeding previous forecasts [1] - Analysts, including Daan Struyven, noted that inflows into gold ETFs have been unexpectedly strong, surpassing prior model predictions, which introduces significant upside risk to their forecasts [1] - The firm originally projected gold prices to reach $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026 and $4,300 by the end of next year, with a possibility of prices hitting $5,000 if 1% of private U.S. Treasury holdings shift to gold [1] Group 2 - Since August 29, gold prices have increased by 12%, breaking out of the $3,200-$3,450 per ounce range that characterized much of Q2 and Q3 [1] - A key catalyst for this price increase is the potential acceleration of gold purchases by central banks after a seasonal lull, with speculative positioning only explaining a small part of the recent price surge [1] - Gold has been one of the strongest performing major commodities, soaring nearly 50% this year, surpassing the inflation-adjusted record set in 1980, driven by collective central bank buying and the Federal Reserve's resumption of interest rate cuts [1] Group 3 - The U.S. government shutdown and pressure on the dollar have also contributed to the rise in gold prices, which were around $3,865 per ounce, continuing a five-day upward trend and approaching the $4,000 milestone [2]