中银国际：重申中广核矿业(01164)“买入”评级 核电产业链融资进一步加速

Core Insights - 中银国际 maintains a "buy" rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) and views it as a key beneficiary of rising spot prices and valuation increases in the uranium market [1] Group 1: Spot Market Activity - Sprott's physical uranium fund has successfully raised funds on 18 out of the last 22 trading days, reaching a fundraising scale not seen since 2021-22, with over $300 million raised since September 1 and more than 380,000 pounds of U3O8 purchased in the spot market [1] - The spot uranium price increased from $76.03 to $83 per pound during September [1] Group 2: Greenfield Uranium Projects - NexGen raised CAD 400 million and AUD 400 million for its Rook I project, which is one of the largest greenfield uranium projects currently [2] - The investment interest in greenfield uranium projects has surged following the WNA conference, with a growing consensus on supply-demand gaps in the 2030s [2] Group 3: Long-term Contract Pricing - The long-term price of natural uranium has surpassed $80 per pound, reaching $83 by the end of September [3] - Nuclear companies are now turning to mainstream uranium producers for long-term contracts at higher prices, as options for signing at lower prices with greenfield projects have been exhausted [3] Group 4: New Nuclear Power Projects in Asia - Several new reactor agreements were signed at the World Nuclear Association conference, including a $25 billion deal between Iran and Rosatom for four reactors (5GW) [4] - Uzbekistan signed agreements with Rosatom for two pressurized water reactors and two small modular reactor projects, totaling 2.1GW [4] - These new projects are expected to consume approximately 1,300 tons of natural uranium annually, equivalent to CGN's current annual sales volume [4] Group 5: Market Liquidity and Valuation - Kazatomprom, the world's largest uranium producer, is considering a new listing location to enhance its valuation, which could improve liquidity and valuations across the sector [5] - The upcoming listing of Chinese uranium companies on the A-share market is expected to further boost valuations in the uranium mining sector [5]