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名创优品(9896.HK):IP深化 海外加速 增长可期
Ge Long Hui·2025-10-02 11:34

Core Insights - The company has experienced a recovery in domestic business, with a 11.4% year-on-year increase in revenue for H1 2025, marking the first positive same-store sales growth in four quarters, indicating effective operational optimization and improved customer traffic [1] - The strategic focus has shifted from quantity expansion to quality enhancement, with a total of 4,305 stores as of H1 2025, netting an increase of 190 stores, and plans to add 100-150 more stores in the future [1] - The company's IP strategy has evolved from a traffic generation tool to a core competitive barrier, with the goal of achieving a GMV of 1 billion yuan from self-owned IPs by the end of the year [1] Domestic Business Performance - Domestic revenue for H1 2025 increased by 11.4%, with same-store sales showing positive growth for the first time in four quarters [1] - The company has closed inefficient small stores and optimized its network structure, resulting in a total of 4,305 stores [1] - The large store formats, represented by MINISO LAND and flagship stores, have significantly increased customer spending and sales per square meter, becoming the core drivers of growth and brand upgrade [1] IP Strategy Development - The IP products have effectively enhanced brand premium and user stickiness, providing strong support for the company's revenue [1] - The company is transitioning from "IP collaboration" to "self-owned IP incubation," with the first self-owned IP "Yoyo Sauce" selling out, validating the company's IP incubation capabilities [1] - The company aims to strengthen self-owned IP cultivation, targeting a GMV of 1 billion yuan for self-owned IPs, establishing it as a strategic pillar for future growth [1] Overseas Business Growth - Overseas business revenue surged by 29.4% in H1 2025, with a total of 3,307 stores, driven primarily by the North American market [2] - The number of stores in North America increased to 394, with GMV skyrocketing by 67.5% to 1.41 billion yuan, benefiting from cluster layout and localized operations [2] - The company plans to open 80 new stores in the U.S. and aims to net over 500 new overseas stores throughout the year [2] TOP TOY Business Performance - The TOP TOY business has shown robust growth, with revenue increasing by 73% and a total of 293 stores [2] - This segment has become a strong second growth curve for the group, contributing significantly to overall performance [2] Operational Efficiency - The collaboration with Yonghui is expected to enhance operational efficiency through supply chain synergies [2] - The successful execution of channel upgrades, IP strategy, and global operations is anticipated to improve growth quality and profit visibility [2] - The company projects EPS for 2025-2027 to be 1.93, 2.58, and 3.26 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [2]