美国国债维持涨势 就业数据指向进一步降息

Core Insights - U.S. Treasury yields are rising as private sector employment data fuels bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut this month [1] - The two-year yield fell to its lowest point since September 18 at 3.53%, while the ten-year yield stabilized at 4.09% after a 5 basis point decline [1] - The Challenger, Gray & Christmas report indicated a reduction in hiring plans by U.S. employers in September, but the market reaction was muted [1] - A potential government shutdown could delay the release of key economic statistics, including the non-farm payroll report, impacting the Treasury market [1] - UBS Investment Bank strategist Elena Amoruso noted that a prolonged shutdown could negatively affect the economy, potentially increasing bets on lower interest rates [1] - The ISM data released on Wednesday reinforced the perception of a softening U.S. economy [1] - Traders currently estimate a greater than 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month [1]