深夜，油价“连续崩跌”，金价“大跳水”，美国政府“停摆”可能延续至下周

Oil Market - International oil prices have experienced a significant decline, with WTI crude oil futures dropping by $1.30 to $60.48 per barrel, a decrease of 2.1%, and Brent crude oil futures falling by $1.03 to $64.32 per barrel, down 1.58% [1][3] - Brent and WTI crude oil have seen four consecutive days of decline, reaching their lowest levels in nearly four months due to concerns over potential oversupply ahead of an upcoming OPEC meeting [3] - HFI Research indicates that U.S. oil inventories are expected to increase by year-end, contributing to a persistently weak oil market environment [4] Gold Market - Gold prices initially reached a record high of $3,897 per ounce before experiencing a sharp decline, dropping below $3,820 per ounce [5] - Year-to-date, spot gold prices have risen by $1,200 per ounce, representing an increase of over 45%, driven primarily by risks associated with the U.S. economy [9] - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown has heightened market risk aversion, leading to increased expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which has supported gold prices [10] - Institutions such as JPMorgan and UBS have raised their gold price forecasts, with expectations that gold could reach $3,800 per ounce by Q4 2025 and potentially exceed $4,000 per ounce in Q1 2026 [11] - Analysts predict that gold prices will likely fluctuate between $3,700 and $4,100 per ounce in Q4 2023, with a possibility of breaking above $4,200 per ounce if no significant negative factors arise [12]