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创新药全链条高景气持续,维昇药业-B(02561)或迎“戴维斯双击”

Core Insights - The Hong Kong pharmaceutical market has shown a structural trend since 2025, with the innovative drug sector becoming a focal point for investment due to its transition to profitability and international expansion [1][2] Industry Overview - In the first half of 2025, 149 Hong Kong-listed pharmaceutical companies reported a 29.7% year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with 36 innovative drug companies generating revenues of 28.5 billion yuan, marking a 15.8% growth [1] - The innovative drug sector has transitioned from a "research and development phase" to a "commercialization phase," driven by companies like BeiGene and Innovent Biologics, which have validated their commercialization capabilities [2] - The current market sentiment favors "high cost-performance" targets, with a focus on companies that have stable R&D pipelines and mature commercialization systems [2] Investment Opportunities - The innovative drug sector is characterized by "high certainty and high elasticity," with increased market rotation and investment interest in companies with strong performance and growth potential [2][3] - Companies with differentiated innovation capabilities and global commercialization potential are recommended for investment, as they are expected to experience rapid revenue growth and profitability [3] - The market is actively seeking investment targets that combine "valuation recovery and product realization," with a focus on companies like Vison Pharma, which is positioned in the growth hormone market [4][5] Company Spotlight: Vison Pharma - Vison Pharma is recognized as an undervalued innovative drug company with both valuation recovery and growth potential, focusing on the growth hormone market [5][6] - The company's core product, Lonapegsomatropin, is expected to be commercialized in China, with significant market potential and a strong clinical validation track record [6][7] - Vison Pharma has established strategic partnerships to enhance its commercialization capabilities, including exclusive promotion agreements and local production arrangements [7][8] Market Positioning - Vison Pharma's upcoming product launch is crucial for its value realization, with the potential to capture a significant market share in the long-acting growth hormone segment [6][9] - The company is well-positioned in a "value gap" state, avoiding the risks associated with early-stage biotech while not being assigned the high valuations typical of mature pharmaceutical companies [9]