轩锋—黄金高位多空双洗，还能否冲击3900？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that gold prices are experiencing significant volatility, with recent highs followed by sharp declines, reflecting increased risks at elevated levels and uncertainty in the market [1][3] - The ADP employment data released on Wednesday showed a negative trend in employment numbers, with planned layoffs in September decreasing by 37% to 54,000, but cumulative layoffs for the year have reached 946,000, the highest since 2020 [3] - The recruitment plans are at a low of 205,000, the lowest since the 2009 financial crisis, raising concerns about the labor market and economic outlook amid the government shutdown [3] Group 2 - In the oil market, anticipation of a new round of OPEC+ meetings is leading to sentiments of continued production increases in November, which, combined with concerns over economic impacts from the government shutdown, is exerting pressure on oil prices [5] - The technical analysis indicates that oil prices have broken below the strong support level of 61.6, leading to a continued downward trend, with a recommendation to maintain a bearish outlook on oil [5] - The trading strategy for gold suggests buying near 3844/5 with a stop at 3837 and targets set at 3860/3875, while for oil, a short position is recommended around 61.3 with a stop at 62 [6]