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美国恐怕再也难站起来了,原因有几个:美国的国债,美国人依靠贪婪这杆杠一直高消费,美国靠霸权发家致富,但是强盗终究会被消灭
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-03 14:16

Group 1 - The core issue facing the U.S. economy is its soaring national debt, projected to exceed $36 trillion by 2025, with interest payments alone expected to surpass $1 trillion this year, exceeding the defense budget [3][5] - The decline of the U.S. dollar's dominance in global transactions is evident, with countries like Brazil and China opting for local currencies for oil settlements, leading to a drop in the dollar's share of global foreign exchange reserves from over 70% two decades ago to below 60% now [3][5] - The increasing reliance on foreign and non-primary dealers for U.S. Treasury auctions indicates a loss of confidence among domestic investors, as evidenced by the indirect bidding ratio soaring to 72.9% in December [5] Group 2 - The U.S. military budget is projected to approach $1 trillion, while maintaining 750 overseas bases incurs an annual cost of $55 billion, raising concerns about the sustainability of such expenditures [5] - Domestic social tensions are rising, exemplified by significant labor strikes demanding higher wages, contrasting with the financial gains seen in capital markets, highlighting a growing divide between different socioeconomic classes [7] - The structural issues of high debt and interest rates are permeating into American households, with credit card debt expected to exceed $1.13 trillion by Q4 2024, reflecting a broader trend of high consumption and debt levels [9][11]