张津镭：黄金多头疯狂延续！下周多空机会全解析

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing a bullish trend, driven by geopolitical tensions and economic data indicating a cooling labor market, which enhances the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices showed a fluctuating upward trend, reaching a high of $3891 but failing to break the $3900 resistance level, closing at $3885 [1] - Geopolitical events, such as Middle East peace negotiations and US-Russia military confrontations, are contributing to heightened risk aversion among investors [1] - The US government shutdown has led to significant disruptions, with hundreds of thousands of federal employees affected, raising concerns about potential downward revisions of US economic growth [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Current gold prices are within an upward channel, with key support at $3760; a failure to break this level during a pullback could present a buying opportunity [2] - The MACD indicator shows increasing bullish momentum, and the 5-day and 10-day moving averages have formed a golden cross, indicating a strong bullish trend [2] - The trading strategy for the upcoming week involves monitoring geopolitical developments and US government negotiations, with potential short positions if resistance near $3885-$3890 is tested without a breakout [2]