特朗普官宣月底和中方见面，关键时刻，普京改口，宣布不反美元

Core Insights - The article discusses the complex international dynamics involving the U.S., China, and Russia, particularly focusing on soybean trade and the dollar's role in global finance [1][15]. Group 1: U.S. Soybean Market - As of early October 2025, China has placed nearly zero orders for U.S. soybeans, a stark contrast to over $12 billion in imports the previous year, highlighting significant political pressure on the White House [2][11]. - U.S. farmers, particularly soybean producers, are expressing dissatisfaction, attributing their struggles to tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which could threaten his political support in the upcoming 2024 elections [2][5]. - Trump has publicly stated that he will pause soybean purchases for negotiation considerations, indicating the urgency of the situation as he seeks to reassure farmers [5][11]. Group 2: China's Strategic Position - China has strategically increased its soybean imports, reaching a record high of nearly 14 million tons in September, indicating preparation for potential negotiations and reducing reliance on U.S. soybeans [5][11]. - The diversification of China's soybean sources, including cheaper options from Brazil and Argentina, enhances its negotiating power in the ongoing discussions [5][11]. - China's approach emphasizes stability and long-term strategy, as it continues to strengthen cooperation with Latin American countries while maintaining its own strategic reserves [13][15]. Group 3: Russia's Shift in Stance - President Putin's recent comments indicate a shift from a previously aggressive stance on "de-dollarization" to a more pragmatic approach, suggesting that Russia's actions were driven by restrictions on dollar usage rather than a fundamental opposition to the currency [7][9]. - The majority of trade between Russia and China is conducted in local currencies, but Russia still relies on the dollar for transactions with other countries, highlighting the complexities of its economic relationships [9][11]. - Putin's remarks signal a willingness to negotiate and explore potential easing of financial sanctions, reflecting a strategic recalibration in response to the current geopolitical landscape [9][15]. Group 4: Triangular Dynamics - The interactions between Trump, Putin, and China illustrate a strategic balancing act, with each country pursuing its own interests while being influenced by the others' actions [11][15]. - The U.S. seeks to stabilize its domestic agricultural sector, while Russia aims to maintain its trade channels, and China positions itself as a key player in this geopolitical chess game [11][15]. - The article concludes that the ability to maintain stability in essential resources like food, energy, and finance will determine which country can navigate the current uncertainties most effectively [15][17].