Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-04 15:05Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in fund returns has attracted significant attention, with notable performances from various funds, but the reality for retail investors may differ from the perceived opportunities [1][3]. Group 1: Fund Performance - In the first three quarters of the year, stock funds averaged a return of 28.18%, while mixed funds achieved 25.88%, with 97% of actively managed equity funds showing positive returns [3]. - Specific indices such as the Technology 50 Index and the Northern Stock Exchange 50 Index saw increases of 34% and 47.33% respectively, indicating a strong market performance [3]. Group 2: Retail Investor Behavior - Retail investors often enter the market at high points after media coverage, leading to losses when they sell during corrections [3][12]. - The tendency to follow trends without prior research results in missed opportunities, as institutional investors typically enter positions well before retail investors notice [3][12]. Group 3: Institutional Investment Insights - The concept of "institutional inventory" reflects the level of institutional engagement in stocks, with sustained involvement being a key driver of price increases [5][11]. - Stocks like "Cuiwei Co." demonstrated significant gains due to early institutional interest, while others like "Dongruan Group" failed to maintain momentum due to lack of sustained institutional support [5][9]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Strategies - The market operates as a dynamic game, where the same positive news can yield different outcomes based on the prevailing market conditions [13]. - Retail investors are encouraged to develop a multi-dimensional observation system and validate their logic with data to better navigate market opportunities [12].