今日金价：赶紧准备！下周，金价或掀起15年式狂潮，三大信号已到位

Core Viewpoint - The current gold market is showing signs reminiscent of 2015, with potential for significant price movements driven by similar economic conditions and investor behavior [1][2][4]. Group 1: Economic Conditions - The initiation of a rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve, along with a data vacuum caused by the U.S. government shutdown, is creating a favorable environment for gold, similar to the pre-2015 conditions [1][2]. - Economic data disruptions, such as fluctuating employment figures, have historically influenced gold prices, as seen in 2015 when lower-than-expected non-farm payroll data led to a 2.3% increase in gold prices [2]. Group 2: Investment Trends - There is a notable increase in investments in gold ETFs, with SPDR Gold Shares seeing a record inflow of 18.9 tons in a single day, echoing the asset reallocation trends of 2015 [4]. - Central bank gold purchases have shifted from retail-driven to strategic allocations, with annual purchases exceeding 1,000 tons since 2022, compared to less than 600 tons in 2015 [4]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The current technical setup for gold shows a strong upward channel, with significant support around the $3835-$3840 range, indicating enhanced market resilience compared to 2015 [6]. - Silver's performance is positively correlated with gold, as evidenced by a 2.09% increase in silver prices, which could further bolster gold's upward momentum [6]. Group 4: Market Outlook - Upcoming non-farm payroll data is critical; a disappointing report could trigger a surge in gold prices similar to the events of November 2015 [8]. - Key price levels are crucial for short-term movements; a breakout above $3865 could lead to targets of $3900-$3950, while a drop below $3720 may signal a need for caution [8][10].