Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-06 02:22Core Viewpoint - Tianfeng Securities has slightly adjusted the profit forecast for Anta Sports, expecting net profit attributable to shareholders to be 13.6 billion RMB, 15.5 billion RMB, and 17.3 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18x, 15x, and 14x, maintaining a "Buy" rating Brand Performance - Mature Brand: Anta brand is expected to achieve revenue of 17 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%, accounting for approximately 44% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 54.9% [1] - Growth Brand: FILA brand is projected to generate revenue of 14.2 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.6%, representing about 37% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 68% [1] - Emerging Brand Portfolio: Other brands (including DESCENTE and KOLON SPORT) are expected to achieve revenue of 7.4 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 61.1%, increasing their revenue share from approximately 13% to about 19%, with a gross margin of 73.9% [1] Channel Performance - DTC: Expected revenue of 9.4 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, accounting for about 56% of total revenue [2] - E-commerce: Anticipated revenue of 6.1 billion RMB in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, representing approximately 36% of total revenue [2] - Traditional Wholesale and Others: Expected revenue of 1.4 billion RMB in H1 2025, accounting for about 8% of total revenue [3] Strategy and Outlook - The company will continue to implement a "single focus, multi-brand, globalization" strategy in H1 2025, driving growth through dual core brands [4] - Anta brand will deepen its transformation and promote innovation in business models and specialized stores, while FILA will focus on golf and tennis to build a core product matrix [4] - Emerging brands like DESCENTE and KOLON SPORT are expected to maintain rapid growth, with global expansion covering Asia, Europe, and America [4] - The company is enhancing digital integration and initiating AI strategic layouts to drive material research and process innovation [4] - A 3-5 year revitalization plan has been established for the JACK WOLFSKIN brand to reshape its product system [4]