“越等越贵”！黄金，突破3900了！

Group 1 - Spot gold prices have maintained a strong upward trend, breaking the $3900 per ounce mark for the first time, with a daily increase of 0.61%, reaching a historical high [1] - Year-to-date, spot gold prices have risen over 48%, with the price crossing the $3800 per ounce threshold less than 10 days ago [1] - Domestic gold jewelry brands have seen a continuous increase in gold jewelry prices, with some brands' prices approaching 1150 RMB per gram [3][4] Group 2 - Specific gold jewelry prices include: Lao Miao at 1148 RMB per gram (up 19 RMB), Chow Sang Sang at 1141 RMB per gram (up 9 RMB), and Chow Tai Fook at 1139 RMB per gram (up 10 RMB) [3] - The retail price for investment gold is reported at 1009 RMB per gram, with wedding-related gold products being particularly popular among consumers [7] - During the National Day holiday, some brands adjusted their "fixed-price" gold jewelry by approximately 5% [7] Group 3 - Recent increases in gold prices are attributed to multiple factors, including uncertainty from the U.S. government shutdown and weak employment data, which have heightened investor risk aversion [9] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October is estimated at 98%, with a 90% chance of a similar cut in December [9] - Analysts from BMO Capital Markets have significantly raised their price forecasts for gold and silver for the fourth quarter, citing geopolitical and economic turmoil as key drivers of unprecedented gold price increases [9] Group 4 - Citigroup has raised its three-month gold price target to $4000 per ounce, while UBS predicts gold prices could reach $4200 per ounce by mid-2026 [10] - Goldman Sachs analysts noted strong inflows into gold ETFs, exceeding previous model predictions, indicating a potential upward risk for gold prices [10]