两党都信“胜券在握”，美国政府关门进入第二周

Core Points - The government shutdown in the U.S. has entered its second week with no signs of resolution, and the likelihood of concessions in the short term is minimal [1] - The Senate is expected to fail again in procedural voting to secure the necessary 60 votes to restart the government [1] - The White House's stance complicates the situation, with President Trump mocking Democrats on social media instead of engaging in negotiations [1][4] - The core issue of the deadlock revolves around subsidies related to the Affordable Care Act, with Democrats seeking to tie these subsidies to government funding bills [2][3] Group 1 - The shutdown has led to the closure of several federal departments, affecting hundreds of thousands of federal employees who are either on leave or working without pay [2] - Key functions like Social Security benefits continue, but the broader impact is expected to escalate as federal workers begin to miss paychecks by mid-October [2] - Historical precedents suggest that when shutdowns affect a wider audience, such as airline travelers, they often lead to quicker resolutions [2] Group 2 - Trust issues are complicating negotiations, with Democrats expressing skepticism about the Trump administration's commitment to any agreements reached [4] - Despite the challenges, there are indications that both parties are seeking a way forward, with key figures from both sides engaging in discussions [5] - The internal divisions within the Republican Party regarding the subsidy issue pose additional challenges to reaching a consensus [5]