半两财经｜距4000美元只有一步之遥 国际金价又涨到整数关口

Core Insights - International gold prices continued to rise, with futures reaching $3956.2 per ounce and spot prices hitting $3932.06 per ounce, both marking historical highs [1][3] - The uncertainty from the U.S. government shutdown and rising expectations for interest rate cuts have strengthened gold prices, with a year-to-date increase of approximately 50% [3] Price Movements - On October 6, spot gold opened strong, peaking at $3932.06 per ounce, a new historical high, just days after surpassing the $3800 mark [3] - Domestic jewelry brands also raised their prices, with Lao Miao gold reaching 1148 yuan per gram and Chow Sang Sang's gold jewelry priced at 1141 yuan per gram [3] Economic Factors - The U.S. government shutdown has heightened investor risk aversion, while weak employment data has reinforced expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, benefiting gold prices [3] - The U.S. dollar index has declined nearly 10% this year, which is favorable for gold, and experts predict further weakening of the dollar [3] Central Bank Trends - There is a growing demand for diversification in global central bank reserves, with the dollar's share in reserves dropping from 60% in 2000 to 43% last year, while gold reserves have been increasing [3] Future Projections - UBS has released a report indicating a bullish outlook for the gold market, forecasting prices to reach $4200 per ounce by mid-2026 [3]