Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-06 05:55Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that HSBC Holdings (00005) is expected to announce its Q3 results on October 28, with a projected pre-tax profit of $8.5 billion, a 3% year-on-year decline, and revenue remaining flat compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The bank's net interest income is anticipated to reach $10.6 billion for Q3, up from a previous estimate of $10.2 billion, due to a rebound in Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (HIBOR) since August 2025 [1] - Management previously indicated that if HIBOR remained around 1%, net interest income would be negatively impacted by approximately $100 million per month; however, the one-month HIBOR has risen to about 3.5% [1] - Despite the increase in net interest income, the bank has slightly lowered its projections for net interest income for FY2026 and beyond, reflecting reduced yields on structural hedging reinvestments [1] Group 2: Revenue and Profit Growth - HSBC's total revenue growth is expected to slow from mid-single digits in H1 2025 to 1% by Q3 2025, with an estimated revenue growth of about 3% from FY2025 to FY2027 [1] - The bank aims to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3% in pre-tax profit through strict cost control [1] - Share buyback programs are expected to continue, with projected repurchases of $10 billion, $8 billion, and $6 billion for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively, which will reduce the number of shares outstanding [1] - The CAGR for basic earnings per share is expected to reach approximately 8% over the next three years [1]