Is Tesla Stock A Buy Before Its Q3 Earnings?

Group 1 - Tesla is expected to report earnings of approximately $0.52 per share, a decline from $0.72 in the same period last year, while revenues are projected to slightly increase to $25.41 billion [2] - The company reported Q3 delivery figures showing a 7% year-over-year increase in total shipments to 462,890 vehicles, driven by a surge in EV purchases in the U.S. before the federal tax credit expired [2] - Tesla faces challenges in Europe due to opposition to CEO Elon Musk's political views and increasing competition from BMW, Volkswagen, and BYD [2] Group 2 - Tesla's current market capitalization stands at $1.4 trillion, with revenue over the past twelve months amounting to $93 billion, and it reported $5.8 billion in operating profits and a net income of $6.1 billion [3] - Historical trends indicate that there is a 63% chance of positive one-day post-earnings returns based on 19 earnings data points over the last five years, though this percentage drops to 55% when considering the last three years [5] - The median of the 12 positive one-day returns is 4.2%, while the median of the 7 negative returns is -6.1% [5]