Group 1: Gold Market - Spot gold opened strong on October 6, rising nearly 1% to a record high of $3920.77 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of 49% [1] - COMEX gold also reached a new high of $3945.2 per ounce [1][2] - The surge in gold prices is attributed to increased uncertainty from the U.S. government shutdown and rising expectations for interest rate cuts [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate target range to 4.00% to 4.25% in September [3] - The probability of a rate cut in October is approximately 95%, with a 99% probability for December [3] - According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of maintaining the current rate in October is only 5.4% [3] Group 3: Oil Market - OPEC+ held an online meeting on October 5 to discuss production arrangements for November, with expectations to confirm an increase of at least 137,000 barrels per day [5][6] - Since April, OPEC+ has abandoned its reduction strategy, leading to a significant increase in oil supply [6] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that if the current production trend continues, oil supply surplus could reach historical highs by 2026 [6]
金价，爆了！油价，涨了
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-06 09:09