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Why Marvell Technology Rallied in September

Core Viewpoint - Marvell Technology's stock experienced a significant recovery in September, rising 33.7% after a decline of 21.8% in August, attributed to a more optimistic long-term outlook for AI and the company's strategic actions [1][2][8]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Marvell's shares fell 21.8% in August following a disappointing second quarter earnings report, which included softer-than-expected guidance due to "lumpiness" in its custom AI XPU business [1]. - The stock rebounded in September as investors regained confidence in the long-term prospects for AI, particularly regarding Marvell's XPU and networking opportunities [2][8]. Group 2: Management Actions - Marvell management demonstrated confidence in the company's future by significantly increasing the share repurchase authorization to $5 billion, which includes a $1 billion accelerated share repurchase program [3][5]. - Prior to the announcement of the new repurchase program, Marvell had already repurchased $300 million of stock in the current quarter [6]. - Several top executives, including CEO Matt Murphy, made insider purchases of Marvell stock, with total purchases ranging from $265,000 to over $1 million [6]. Group 3: Market Position - Following the September rally, Marvell's stock trades at approximately 30 times this year's adjusted (non-GAAP) earnings estimates, which is considered relatively valuable among AI stocks despite not being cheap by conventional standards [9].