半两财经|历史首次 黄金期货触及4000美元关口
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-07 01:23

Core Viewpoint - COMEX gold futures have reached a historic high of $4000 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of over 50% [1][3] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The rise in gold prices is attributed to increased risk aversion due to the U.S. government shutdown, which has heightened market uncertainty [3] - The failure of the U.S. Senate to pass a temporary funding bill has led to the continuation of the government shutdown, impacting the release of key economic data [3] - Gold prices have seen significant increases throughout the year, rising from $2600 per ounce at the beginning of the year to $3973.58 per ounce as of October 7 [3] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. dollar index has declined nearly 10% this year, contributing to the favorable conditions for gold [3] - The demand for gold as a reserve asset has increased, with its share in global central bank reserves rising as the dollar's share has decreased from 60% in 2000 to 43% last year [4] Group 3: Future Projections - UBS has released a report predicting a bullish outlook for the gold market, forecasting that gold prices could reach $4200 per ounce by mid-2026 [5]