FPG财盛国际：黄金突然大爆发的原因在这！后续如何交易？

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have driven gold prices to a historic high, surpassing $3900 per ounce and reaching $3970 per ounce [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The U.S. government remains shut down, contributing to political uncertainty and increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [1]. - Political turmoil in France and Japan is also influencing market sentiment, with France's new Prime Minister resigning shortly after taking office and Japan's ruling party selecting a new leader [1]. - Investors are pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the upcoming meeting and another cut in December, making non-yielding gold more attractive in a low-interest-rate environment [1][2]. Group 2: Price Trends and Projections - Gold has risen 50% year-to-date, supported by expectations of rate cuts, central bank purchases, and a weaker dollar [2]. - Analysts predict that gold prices could reach $4200 per ounce by the end of the year, driven by both fundamental and momentum factors [2]. - The recent price surge has led buyers to test the $4000 per ounce level, with key resistance at $3970 per ounce and support levels at $3900 and $3850 per ounce [3]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The daily chart for gold shows a bullish trend, with significant resistance at $3970 and support at $3900 [4]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates an overbought condition, but a rise in the 70-80 range could signal further bullish momentum [3].