金价距离4000美元仅一步之遥！空头还有反击机会吗？

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have steadily risen to historical highs this year, with expectations of reaching the psychological threshold of $4,000 per ounce in the near term, driven by multiple favorable factors [1][2][3]. Group 1: Factors Driving Gold Prices - The current surge in gold prices is attributed to five main factors: persistent inflation, geopolitical tensions, a weakening dollar, increased demand for gold from central banks, and investor hedging against volatility [1]. - The record levels of government debt have also provided resilience to the gold price increase this year [1]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Gold is not just rising; it is re-establishing its status as a "currency conscience," reflecting a global acknowledgment of the limitations of paper currency commitments [2]. - The recent political turmoil in Washington, including government shutdowns, has injected new momentum into gold's upward trend [2]. - Analysts expect gold to test the $4,000 per ounce mark by the end of the month, with central bank actions signaling the strategic importance of gold [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The current gold market is characterized by a collective consensus among central banks, funds, and individuals, indicating that gold is more than just a hedging tool [3]. - Despite being at historical highs, central banks continue to increase their gold reserves, with China reporting a rise in gold holdings [3]. - Analysts suggest that while profit-taking and corrections may occur, any pullback is likely to be limited to 5% to 7%, with opportunities for buying on dips [4].