Core Insights - As of October 6, 2025, the SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, holds 1013.17 tons of gold, reflecting a decrease of 1.71 tons from the previous trading day, indicating a trend of slight reduction in holdings despite a significant rise in gold prices [6]. Group 1: Gold Price Movement - On October 6, spot gold prices surged, reaching a record high of $3969.94 per ounce and closing near this level at $3960.85 per ounce, marking an increase of $74.38 or 1.91% [6]. - The rise in gold prices occurred despite a strengthening U.S. dollar and a rebound in global stock market risk appetite, suggesting strong buying interest in gold [6]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Economic Factors - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown has heightened concerns about the labor market, with no signs of resolution from either Republican or Democratic lawmakers [6]. - Delays in economic data releases have added uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, with market expectations fully pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut later this month and a 94% probability of a rate cut in December [6]. Group 3: Global Political Climate - Political instability in Europe, particularly in France, where Prime Minister Leclerc resigned shortly after forming a new cabinet, has further exacerbated market risk aversion [7]. - In Japan, the election of a new leader in the ruling Liberal Democratic Party is expected to lead to more accommodative monetary policies, increasing fiscal spending, and reducing the urgency for interest rate hikes [7]. Group 4: Technical Analysis - The bullish structure of gold remains intact, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating an overbought condition but still showing an upward trend as long as it stays within the 70-80 range [7]. - Key resistance levels for gold are identified at $3970 (historical high) and $4000 (psychological level), while initial support is at $3900, with further levels at $3872, $3850, and $3819 [8].
黄金ETF持仓量报告解读(2025-10-7)金价拉升一举突破3900关口
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-07 06:52