10月7日全社会跨区域人员流动量预计3亿人次

Core Insights - The transportation sector is experiencing a peak in return travel during the Mid-Autumn and National Day holiday period, with a total of 30.849 billion passenger trips expected, reflecting a 3.5% increase from the previous period and an 18.3% increase year-on-year [1] Group 1: Passenger Transport Volume - Railway passenger volume is projected to reach 19.05 million trips, showing a 16.3% increase from the previous period but a 4.8% decrease year-on-year [1] - Road transport is expected to account for 28.586 billion trips, with a 2.8% increase from the previous period and a 20.4% increase year-on-year. This includes 4.011 million trips from commercial road transport, which is a 4.5% increase from the previous period but a 3.4% decrease year-on-year [1] - Non-commercial passenger trips on highways and regular national and provincial roads are expected to be 24.575 billion, reflecting a 2.5% increase from the previous period and a significant 25.5% increase year-on-year [1] Group 2: Water and Air Transport - Waterway passenger volume is anticipated to be 1.15 million trips, showing a 10.8% decrease from the previous period but a 21.8% increase year-on-year [2] - Air passenger volume is expected to reach 2.43 million trips, with a 1.6% increase from the previous period and a 3.6% increase year-on-year [2] Group 3: Traffic Conditions - The Ministry of Transport indicates that the next two days will see concentrated traffic flow, primarily from medium to long-distance return trips and some short-distance travel, although the intensity is lower than the first day of the holiday [2] - Major traffic pressure is expected on key routes such as the G40 Shanghai-Shaanxi Expressway, G15 Shenhai Expressway, and G4 Beijing-Hong Kong-Macau Expressway, particularly in urban areas of major regions like Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area [2]