普京做出困难决断,俄罗斯向全国加税,不是说“越打越有钱”吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-07 21:52

Core Points - Russia is facing significant financial strain due to increased military spending and sanctions, leading to a nationwide tax increase for residents [4][6] - The defense budget for 2025 is projected at $150 billion, accounting for 6.3% of GDP, nearly doubling pre-war levels and consuming about 40% of national revenue [3][6] - The federal deficit reached $182 billion in the first half of the year, marking the highest level since 2008, with an average "war tax" of $1,070 per person [3][4] Financial Situation - The national wealth fund has been depleted by half, with $72 billion allocated for 2024, leaving only $85 billion by the third quarter, down from $190 billion pre-war [3][6] - Western sanctions have frozen $300 billion in overseas assets, limiting international transactions and borrowing options, forcing the central bank to increase money supply [3][6] - The broad money supply is expected to grow by 19% in 2024, contributing to rising inflation [3][6] Energy Sector - Energy exports to China and India account for 40% and 38% respectively, while exports to the EU have dwindled to 6% [6] - Revenue from energy exports has decreased from $160 billion in 2021 to an estimated $113.6 billion in 2024, with an 8% drop in the first eight months of this year [6] - International oil prices are lower than in 2022, and Russian oil is sold at a discount of $5-8 per barrel compared to Brent [6] - Maintenance costs for icebreakers and investments in energy infrastructure have further strained financial resources [6] - Production from aging oil fields in Siberia has declined from 500,000 barrels per day to 420,000 barrels per day, with projections of a 12% drop in total output by 2027 [6]