

Core Viewpoint - The global market during the National Day holiday (October 1-7) showed a pattern of "Asia-Pacific leading, Europe and America following, and commodity structure differentiation," driven by technology growth and expectations of global liquidity easing [1] Group 1: Global Market Performance - The Asia-Pacific technology growth sector outperformed, with major indices showing significant divergence [2] - The Nikkei 225 index surged by 6.72%, leading global markets, driven by expectations of easing policies from Japan's new Prime Minister and improved corporate earnings [2] - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices rose by 0.39% and 0.57%, respectively, supported by AI industry catalysts and interest rate cut expectations [2] Group 2: Commodity Market Trends - Gold and industrial metals showed strong performance, while energy commodities exhibited significant differentiation [3] - Spot gold surpassed $3980 per ounce, with COMEX gold futures rising by 3.48% to cross the $4000 mark, driven by heightened risk aversion and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts [3] - Industrial metals like LME copper and LME zinc increased by 4.45% and 2.75%, respectively, due to supply constraints and demand from AI and new energy sectors [3] Group 3: Industry Insights - The technology growth sector is clearly defined, with macro policies and industry trends resonating [4] - The semiconductor sector is driven by a global inventory cycle bottoming out and AI computing demand, with stocks like SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor rising over 14% [4] - The Hong Kong market showed significant sector differentiation, with materials, information technology, and healthcare leading, while consumer staples and real estate lagged [4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The A-share market is expected to see a strong opening post-holiday, with technology growth likely to continue its momentum [5] - Focus areas for investment include technology growth (semiconductor equipment, AI computing, communication devices), safe-haven assets (gold), and cyclical sectors benefiting from policy expectations [5] - Caution is advised regarding potential volatility in the technology sector and external policy uncertainties, particularly related to the U.S. government shutdown [5]