黄金ETF持仓量报告解读（2025-10-8）金价一度短线杀跌至3940

Core Viewpoint - The SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, reported a total holding of 1013.15 tons of gold as of October 7, 2025, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.02 tons from the previous trading day. The price of spot gold reached a record high of $3990.90 per ounce, driven by strong demand for safe-haven assets amid ongoing U.S. government shutdown and expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2][7]. Group 1: Gold ETF Holdings - As of October 7, 2025, SPDR Gold Trust holds 1013.15 tons of gold, down by 0.02 tons from the previous day [7]. - The current gold ETF holdings indicate a strong interest in gold as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty [7]. Group 2: Gold Price Movement - On October 7, spot gold prices peaked at $3990.90 per ounce, marking a significant increase of $23.49 or 0.59% [7]. - The price of gold is supported by expectations of a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, with predictions of rate cuts in October and December [7][8]. Group 3: Market Influences - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its seventh day, has heightened demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [7]. - Geopolitical tensions in France and Japan have also contributed to increased global demand for gold [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Goldman Sachs has raised its long-term gold price forecast for 2026 from $4300 to $4900, citing strong inflows into gold ETFs and continued central bank purchases [8]. - Technical indicators suggest that while gold is in an upward trend, caution may be warranted as it approaches the psychological barrier of $4000 per ounce [8][9].