Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-08 06:30Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Copper (600362) shares have risen over 200% year-to-date, with a recent increase of 6.75% to HKD 35.44, reflecting strong market performance amid supply concerns in the copper industry [1] Company Summary - Jiangxi Copper is a leading copper smelting company in China, with an annual production capacity of 2.1 million tons of cathode copper, and copper-related revenue accounting for over 70% of its total income [1] Industry Summary - The suspension of operations at the Grasberg copper mine is expected to exacerbate the copper supply shortage between Q4 2025 and 2026 [1] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association's copper division opposes "involution" competition in the copper smelting industry, indicating a push for more sustainable practices [1] - Everbright Securities predicts that implementing "anti-involution" policies in the copper sector may limit new smelting capacity and accelerate the exit of smaller smelting operations, potentially improving profitability for smelting companies as downstream consumption continues to grow due to renewable energy and grid upgrades [1]