黄金冲上4000美元，美银默默警告：三大信号暗示回调在即！

Core Insights - The attractiveness of gold is significantly increasing in 2025 due to factors such as currency devaluation, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical risks, marking one of the strongest bull markets for gold in decades [1] - Gold prices have recently reached an all-time high, surpassing $4000 per ounce for the first time, reflecting a direct response to inflation and currency devaluation risks in major economies [1] Price Trends - Since early 2024, gold prices have approximately doubled from around $2000 to about $4000 per ounce [2] - The current price is 20% above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), indicating that the market may be nearing a turning point [2] Market Analysis - Historical data shows that gold prices have experienced a steady increase for seven consecutive weeks, a phenomenon that has occurred 18 times since 1970, often leading to subsequent price corrections [1] - The likelihood of a significant price correction is suggested by the current market conditions, as past trends indicate that prolonged price increases often precede downturns [1][2] Technical Indicators - The 14-month relative strength index (RSI) indicates that gold is severely overbought, with readings above 70 typically signaling an overbought condition [2] - Analysts recommend waiting for a price correction before increasing gold holdings, with silver also being highlighted as a potential investment option due to its recent outperformance compared to gold [2]