经济热点问答｜国际金价缘何再创历史新高

Group 1 - International gold prices recently reached a historic high, surpassing $4,000 per ounce, with a peak at $4,014.60 per ounce on October 7 [1] - Year-to-date, international gold prices have increased by approximately 50%, making gold one of the best-performing major assets globally [1] - The rise in gold prices reflects increased global demand for safe-haven assets and a decline in the credibility of the US dollar [1] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs raised its 2026 gold price forecast from $4,300 to $4,900 per ounce, citing strong demand from central banks and private sector diversification [2] - Central banks are expected to purchase 80 tons and 70 tons of gold annually in the next two years, with emerging market central banks increasing their gold reserves to reduce reliance on the US dollar [2] Group 3 - Multiple factors, including US government shutdown, political instability in France, and ongoing geopolitical conflicts, have driven up demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3] - The weakening of the US dollar and increased uncertainty regarding US fiscal policy have enhanced gold's appeal [3] - The recent trend of central banks purchasing gold and inflows into gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have significantly contributed to the rise in gold prices [3] Group 4 - Future gold price trends may continue to rise if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates further, the dollar remains weak, and geopolitical tensions persist [4] - Some analysts caution that the market may need to prepare for short-term adjustments, with expectations of gold prices fluctuating between $3,800 and $4,100 per ounce for the remainder of the year [4] - Despite potential short-term corrections, long-term outlooks remain bullish, with predictions of gold reaching $4,200 and possibly challenging $5,000 if the Fed continues to lower rates [5]