WTO预测2026年世界贸易总额因美国关税上调将大幅减少

Core Insights - The World Trade Organization (WTO) predicts a significant reduction in global trade volume by 2026 due to increased tariffs imposed by the United States [1] Summary by Categories Global Trade Growth - The WTO forecasts a 2.4% year-on-year growth in global goods trade for this year, which is significantly higher than the previous estimate of 0.9% made in August [1] - This growth is attributed to a more than 20% year-on-year increase in sales of artificial intelligence-related products in the first half of the year [1] Future Trade Projections - The projected growth rate for global trade in 2026 is only 0.5%, a substantial decrease from the earlier estimate of 1.8% made in August [1] - Factors contributing to this decline include the increase in tariffs under the Trump administration, widespread corporate uncertainty, and a further contraction in trade and manufacturing in developed economies [1]