Constellation Brands’ Star Dims as Inflation Chokes Consumers’ Beer Budgets

Core Insights - Constellation Brands slightly beat expectations in its second-quarter earnings report despite a downturn in the alcohol market, leading to mixed sentiments among shareholders [1] Financial Performance - Net sales for the quarter were $2.48 billion, down from $2.92 billion a year ago, but slightly above the expected $2.46 billion [6] - The company reported a profit of $466 million for the quarter [6] - Overall beer sales declined by 7% year-over-year, while revenue from the wine and spirits category fell by 19% year-over-year, following a 21% drop in the previous quarter [6] Market Challenges - Constellation faces significant challenges, including a 50% import tax on aluminum cans, which does not apply to bottled beer [2] - Economic uncertainty has led to reduced discretionary spending, particularly among Latino consumers, who make up about half of Constellation's customer base [2] - Gen Z's disinterest in alcohol consumption is evident, with only 54% of US adults reporting alcohol consumption, the lowest level in nearly 90 years [2] Competitive Landscape - Michelob Ultra has overtaken Modelo as America's top-selling beer, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [3] - The company's share price has decreased by approximately 37% this year, with a 17% drop occurring in September alone [3] - Analysts have expressed skepticism about finding positive catalysts for US beer trends, leading to a downgrade of the company's stock by Barclays [3] Industry Trends - The craft beer market is experiencing a downturn, with more craft breweries closing than opening in the past 18 months, a trend not seen in over 20 years [4]