IMF总裁：全球经济的真正考验可能即将到来

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the global economy is better than expected but has not reached the necessary level, with signs of potential challenges ahead [1] - The current global landscape is undergoing profound changes due to geopolitical factors, technological revolutions, demographic shifts, and environmental damage, leading to a significant rise in uncertainty [1] - The impact of tariff policies has not yet fully manifested, with potential inflationary pressures arising from compressed corporate profits in the U.S. and a shift of goods to other markets [1] Group 2 - A loose financial environment is masking underlying weaknesses, and a significant valuation correction could tighten financial conditions, adversely affecting global economic growth, particularly for developing countries [1] - Despite disruptions, global trade largely continues to follow established rules, and there is a call for countries to maintain trade as a key engine for economic growth [1] - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts a global GDP growth rate of 3% for this year, with a slowdown expected in 2024, and will update its economic growth forecasts during the upcoming annual meeting [2]