储能行业爆发前夜:政策市场双轮驱动,万亿赛道蓄势待发
3 6 Ke·2025-10-08 23:58

Core Insights - The Chinese energy storage industry is experiencing unprecedented growth, with a target of 180 million kilowatts of installed capacity and 250 billion yuan in direct investment by 2025 [1] - The release of the "Document 136" in February 2025 marks the end of the mandatory energy storage era, allowing independent energy storage to emerge as a significant player in the electricity market [2] Policy Breakthrough - The "Document 136" fundamentally alters the growth rules for energy storage by eliminating the requirement for energy storage as a precondition for renewable energy projects [3] - This policy shift has triggered a surge in energy storage installations, with a 210% year-on-year increase in domestic energy storage bidding from March to May 2025 [3][4] - The long-term impact of this policy is a transition from energy storage being a regulatory obligation to a profitable business choice for companies [3] Demand Explosion - Global energy storage installations reached 86 GW in the first nine months of 2025, a 92% increase year-on-year, driven by both domestic and international markets [5] - The user-side energy storage market is thriving, with significant profit opportunities in regions with high price differentials, such as Guangdong and Jiangsu [5][6] - Data centers have emerged as a new demand driver, with a 280% year-on-year increase in energy storage installations, accounting for 38.5% of total new capacity [7] Technological Breakthroughs - The cost of domestic energy storage systems has decreased by 55% from 1.8 yuan/Wh to approximately 0.8 yuan/Wh between 2020 and 2025, while efficiency has improved from 85% to 92% [9] - Lithium batteries remain the dominant technology, comprising 82% of global energy storage installations, with significant advancements in cost and efficiency [9][10] - Emerging technologies, such as all-vanadium flow batteries and sodium-ion batteries, are being developed to address the limitations of lithium batteries in long-duration storage [9] Market Dynamics - The "Matthew Effect" is becoming more pronounced in the energy storage industry, with leading companies experiencing revenue growth exceeding 100%, while smaller firms lag behind [11] - The market share of leading companies in the system integration sector has increased, with significant revenue growth reported by major players like Sungrow and CATL [12] - The shift towards service-oriented business models is extending the value of energy storage beyond hardware to long-term service contracts [12] Conclusion - The rise of the energy storage sector is driven by a combination of policy restructuring and improvements in industry fundamentals, indicating a long-term growth trajectory rather than a short-term trend [13] - Energy storage is positioned as a necessary component of the global energy transition, with ongoing technological advancements and market adaptations enhancing its competitiveness [13]