Group 1 - The central bank of China set the RMB to USD exchange rate at 7.1102, a decrease of 47 points [2] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes indicate a growing divide among officials regarding future interest rate direction, with most believing further rate cuts are necessary this year [4] - The minutes reveal that officials agree on the need for a rate cut due to weak employment data, but there is disagreement on the future path of monetary policy [4] - A majority of officials suggest that further easing may be appropriate in the remaining months of the year, despite some caution regarding current financial conditions [4] Group 3 - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October is 94.6%, while the chance of maintaining the current rate is only 5.9% [5] - For December, the likelihood of keeping rates unchanged is 0.9%, with a cumulative 25 basis point cut probability at 19.0% and a cumulative 50 basis point cut probability at 80.1% [5]
人民币兑美元中间价报7.1102，下调47点！美联储会议纪要谨慎暗示今年将进一步降息，10月降息25个基点概率为94.1%
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-09 01:37