房价都在跌，偏偏这里在涨

Core Insights - The real estate market in Dingbian County is experiencing a significant price increase, with new housing prices surpassing 5000 yuan per square meter by October 2025, compared to less than 4000 yuan per square meter in 2022, marking a cumulative increase of over 25% in three years [2][3] - In contrast, the real estate market in Xi'an, the capital of Shaanxi Province, is facing a downturn, with second-hand housing prices dropping by 10.1% year-on-year as of September 2025, reflecting a broader trend in many first- and second-tier cities [2][3] - Dingbian County's unique economic position, primarily driven by its oil and gas production, contributes to its real estate market's resilience and growth, despite being a smaller city with a population of around 360,000 and a GDP of approximately 43 billion yuan [3][4] Market Dynamics - The demand for housing in Dingbian is driven by two main buyer categories: those purchasing for marriage and those seeking properties in desirable school districts, leading to increased competition and higher prices [4][5] - The influx of families moving from rural areas to the county town for educational opportunities has created additional housing demand, further supporting price stability [5] - The scarcity of detached villas in the county has also contributed to rising prices, with some properties seeing price increases from 500,000 yuan to 800,000 yuan over three years [6] Future Outlook - There is uncertainty regarding the sustainability of the current price increases in Dingbian, as the market has seen rapid growth without significant new supply in recent years [7][8] - The potential for new housing projects to come online in the near future could shift the supply-demand balance, raising questions about whether prices can maintain their upward trajectory [8] - Local sentiment reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with some residents expressing concerns about the rapid price increases and the possibility of a market correction [7][8]