12天超长“拼好假” 黄金周的钱都进了谁的口袋？

Core Insights - The upcoming extended National Day holiday is expected to set new records for travel indicators, with a projected 219 million railway passengers and 139,000 flights in the civil aviation sector, marking a 7.5% and 5.7% year-on-year increase respectively [1] - The tourism sector is anticipated to enter a peak period for travel and consumption, as indicated by significant growth in traveler numbers on various platforms [1] - The performance of tourism stocks has shown a divergent trend since September, with Ctrip Group leading in both market capitalization and net profit among major companies [1] Industry Performance - The stock price changes of various tourism-related companies since September show a mixed performance, with some airlines and travel agencies experiencing declines, while Ctrip Group stands out positively [4] - The overall net profit for the tourism industry in the first half of 2025 indicates a significant disparity, with online travel agencies (OTAs) capturing the largest share of the industry's net profit [5] - Ctrip Group has consistently outperformed its competitors in terms of revenue across various segments, including accommodation booking and transportation ticketing [7] Market Trends - The OTA market in China is experiencing steady growth, with the market size projected to increase significantly over the coming years [9] - Ctrip has maintained a leading position in monthly active users among travel apps, indicating strong consumer engagement [10] - China's OTA penetration rate is higher than the global average, reflecting a robust adoption of online travel services [11]