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华鑫证券:维持周六福“买入”评级 线上线下双轮驱动
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-09 07:48

Core Viewpoint - Huaxin Securities reports that Zhou Li Fu (06168), as a leading jewelry enterprise, is continuously optimizing its business model and adjusting product structure according to market demand, while steadily developing the lower-tier market and attempting high-end market strategies, thereby enhancing online channel layouts to capture e-commerce traffic benefits, which is expected to drive profit release as brand momentum deepens [1] Industry Summary - The scale of China's jewelry market has increased from 610 billion yuan in 2019 to an estimated 728 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 3.6%, and is projected to reach 937 billion yuan by 2029, with gold jewelry dominating the market. The "Guochao" trend and IP co-branded products are emerging as new industry hotspots [1] - The industry remains relatively fragmented, with the CR5 for gold jewelry products at 41%, indicating that leading enterprises can continue to gain market share through brand effects and terminal occupation [1] Company Summary - The company is located in the core gold jewelry production area of Shuibei, leveraging supply chain advantages at the processing end. The channel strategy primarily focuses on franchise stores, starting from lower-tier markets and expanding into high-tier cities post-pandemic by opening high-end stores to strengthen brand building [2] - As of the first half of 2025, the company operates 3,857 stores, with the number of stores in first and second-tier cities accounting for 50% of the total. With the optimization of the store model, single-store efficiency is expected to improve further [2] - The company is effectively capturing traffic benefits from interest e-commerce platforms like Douyin and Xiaohongshu for brand exposure, with online channel revenue reaching 1.63 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a 34% year-on-year increase [2] - The product strategy implements a full-category and full-scenario coverage approach, launching diversified product series such as Xi Gu Jin, Yi He Xian Jing, and Yi Xin Yi Ai, focusing on the core demographic of young women and enhancing the youthful brand image through Guochao IP collaborations [2]