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Core Insights - The article highlights the paradox of Russia, once a dominant player in the global oil market, now facing domestic gasoline shortages and soaring prices, while countries like China and Belarus ramp up their oil production to meet their own needs and assist Russia [1][3] Group 1: Impact of Ukraine's Actions - Ukraine has intensified attacks on Russian oil infrastructure, targeting refineries and storage facilities, which are crucial for Russia's military funding and domestic fuel supply [4] - In August alone, Ukraine conducted at least ten strategic strikes on key energy facilities, significantly impacting Russia's oil processing capacity, which is over 44 million tons annually, accounting for more than 10% of its total capacity [4] - The immediate effect of these actions has led to unprecedented regional gasoline shortages in Russia, with long lines forming at gas stations [4][6] Group 2: Domestic Response in Russia - In response to the domestic fuel crisis, Russia has turned to Belarus for urgent oil product imports, with gasoline purchases from Belarus increasing by 36% since July compared to the previous year, and a staggering 168% increase in September [7] - The Russian government has implemented an export ban on gasoline and attempted to stabilize prices through subsidies, but analysts predict consumers will face high prices for at least another month [6][7] Group 3: Role of China - China is emerging as a key player in this new energy dynamic, with reports suggesting that Russia is considering removing tariffs on gasoline imports from China, South Korea, and Singapore [9] - This creates a complementary trade model where Russia exports crude oil to China and imports refined fuels, illustrating a mutually beneficial relationship amid the ongoing conflict [9] - The situation underscores the complexity of modern conflicts, where war can create new dependencies and alternative supply chains, challenging the notion of a zero-sum game in a highly interconnected world [10]