Should You Buy United Parcel Service Right Now?

Core Viewpoint - United Parcel Service (UPS) stock has significantly declined in 2025, down approximately 30% year-to-date, underperforming the S&P 500 due to various challenges including the decision to cut Amazon deliveries and narrowing margins [1] Group 1: Company Strategy - UPS is implementing a cost reduction plan named "better, not bigger," which aims to save about $3.5 billion in 2025 by cutting jobs and closing warehouses [2] - The company is shifting focus from low-margin consumer packages to more profitable deliveries for healthcare companies and small businesses, which is expected to improve margins in the long run [2] - UPS is investing in automation and data analytics to enhance efficiency, reduce delivery times, and lower costs, despite a significant drop in operating margin since 2022 [3] Group 2: Market Conditions - Average daily package volume in the U.S. has decreased this year, contributing to tighter operating margins and creating uncertainty regarding future guidance for 2025 [4] - Tariff pressures have also impacted the company's performance, leading to a cautious outlook [5] Group 3: Investment Considerations - UPS shares are trading at around 14 times forward earnings estimates, suggesting they may not be extremely cheap, but could be undervalued if the cost reduction plan succeeds [6] - The stock currently offers a dividend yield of over 7%, which may attract investors looking for growth and income, although those seeking stability might prefer to wait for clearer signs of recovery [6]