Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-09 13:24Core Insights - The recent surge in gold prices has reached a historic high of over $4000 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of 53.6% [3][4] - Institutional investors have capitalized on this trend, while ordinary investors are still contemplating their next moves [1][3] Market Dynamics - The rise in gold prices is attributed to various factors including U.S. government shutdowns, global political instability, and risks associated with tech stock corrections [3][4] - The concept of "expectation difference" plays a crucial role in market movements, where future expectations outweigh current realities [4] Information Asymmetry - There exists a significant information gap between institutional investors and ordinary investors, with the former having access to advanced research tools and data [5][8] - Early movers in the market often capitalize on information that is not yet widely available, as seen in the case of the Yaxia Hydropower Station stocks [5][8] Quantitative Analysis - Quantitative data serves as a valuable tool for ordinary investors to navigate information asymmetry and identify market trends [8][14] - The trading behavior of stocks like "Tibet Tianlu" and "Poly United" indicates institutional activity prior to price surges, highlighting the importance of monitoring such data [10][12] Investment Strategy - The focus should not solely be on whether to buy gold now, but rather on the ability to assess market expectation changes [14][15] - Recommendations for ordinary investors include building a diverse information network, emphasizing quantitative data, monitoring institutional behavior, and maintaining independent thought [15][16]