美国国债收益率微涨：政府停摆背景下投资者静待突破性进展及美联储线索

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury yields remain stable as investors focus on the ongoing government shutdown, which has entered its ninth day, while awaiting a breakthrough in the situation [1] Group 1: Treasury Yields and Market Reactions - The yields on the benchmark 10-year, 2-year, and 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds have all increased by less than 1 basis point [1] - Despite the government shutdown, the auction of 10-year Treasury bonds on Wednesday went relatively smoothly, boosting market confidence in U.S. Treasuries [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy - Investors are looking towards the minutes from the Federal Reserve's recent meeting for clues about future policy directions, with a consensus among officials on the rate cut in September but differing views on future cuts [1] - The current money market indicates a 95% probability of another rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October [1] Group 3: Government Shutdown Impacts - The ongoing government shutdown is causing a continuous expansion of the U.S. fiscal deficit, leading traders to closely monitor investor demand for U.S. Treasuries [1] - The shutdown has resulted in a halt to the release of official data, adding uncertainty to the market and increasing risks [1] - Investors are weighing their options carefully, considering the implications of the government shutdown on future policies and market trends [1]