Group 1 - Smoore International (06969) has seen a decline of over 7%, reaching a low of HKD 15.85, which is more than a 30% drop from its yearly high of HKD 23.92 [1] - UBS reported that they recently met with the management of Japan Tobacco in Tokyo and held an investor meeting with Smoore's management in Shenzhen [1] - Despite the US increasing efforts to combat illegal e-cigarettes starting in early 2025, feedback from field investigations suggests that the impact of enforcement may weaken due to inconsistent enforcement [1] Group 2 - Chinese customs data indicates a 39% increase in e-cigarette exports in August, suggesting that Chinese e-cigarette exporters are adapting to US enforcement measures [1] - UBS forecasts a 20% year-on-year revenue growth for Smoore International in 2025, primarily driven by e-cigarette sales, but anticipates a 40% decline in net profit due to rising R&D and sales expenses, along with margin pressure [1] - The firm's net profit predictions for 2025-2027 are 18-45% lower than market consensus, maintaining a "Sell" rating with a target price of HKD 13.11 [1]
思摩尔国际再跌超7% 较年内高点已跌超30% 瑞银称其盈测较市场共识更低