CMSK(SZ:001979) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-09 09:13Core Viewpoint - The Beijing real estate market has shown vitality during the National Day holiday, continuing the recovery trend observed after the new policies in August, although a divergence in project performance is expected to persist [1][4]. Market Performance - During the National Day holiday, the new housing market in Beijing maintained a positive trend, with some popular projects receiving over 100 daily visits [2]. - The Zhongjian Yunhe Jiuyuan project reported approximately 5.6 billion yuan in sales during the holiday, with 573 units sold on the opening day [2]. - In contrast, the Huayu Jingyun project experienced slower sales, with only about 20 units sold during the holiday, attributed to its less favorable timing compared to other projects [2][3]. Project Analysis - The Yunqing Lanyue project has been successful due to the lack of competition in the area, while the Huayu Jingyun project struggled to attract buyers from outside the main city [3]. - The market is characterized by a significant disparity, with 20% of projects accounting for 80% of sales, indicating a clear divide between high-performing and underperforming developments [5]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the market will continue to show signs of divergence, with core cities benefiting from policy adjustments and increased supply [5][6]. - The overall market is expected to maintain relative heat in October, but not to the extent seen after the new policies in 2024, with a potential decline in transaction volumes compared to previous years [5][6]. - The introduction of promotional activities by developers during the holiday period, such as discounts and incentives, aims to boost sales in a still-recovering market [6].