涉足现打鲜啤行业，蜜雪的方法是 “复制蜜雪”

Core Viewpoint - The market may be underestimating the retail capabilities and business methodology inherent in the "Mixue Model" as it enters the fresh beer industry [2][4] Company Overview - Mixue Group has signed an investment agreement with Xianpi Fulujia, acquiring 53% equity through a cash increase of 285.6 million yuan, aiming to leverage operational reserve funds for future expansion [3][4] - The market response to this transaction has been generally optimistic, with some cautious perspectives [3] - The focus of the market is likely on the market prospects for Mixue Group and Xianpi Fulujia in the beer industry [3] Industry Trends - The domestic beer market has seen a decline in consumption since 2013, transitioning into a phase of stock competition, with leading manufacturers focusing on capacity reduction and premiumization [5] - Younger consumers are shifting towards personalized and differentiated beer preferences, leading to growth in niche segments like craft and fresh beer [5][6] - The distribution channels for beer are changing, with a decline in consumption in restaurants and nightclubs, while supermarkets and convenience stores are gaining market share [5] Market Opportunities - The fresh beer market remains a blue ocean, with significant challenges in scaling operations [5][6] - Craft beer producers typically operate on a smaller scale compared to industrial breweries, focusing on community or regional markets [6][7] - The investment threshold for becoming a regional craft beer producer is substantial, indicating high barriers to entry for new players [8] Competitive Landscape - Xianpi Fulujia has achieved a revenue of 150 million yuan and operates approximately 1,200 stores across 28 provinces, making it the leading brand in fresh beer chain stores in China [9] - The company has demonstrated a unique capability to quickly identify target consumer groups and link its brand with fresh beer consumption behaviors [9][10] - The pricing strategy of Xianpi Fulujia aligns with the overall market average, allowing for competitive positioning while maintaining better commercial efficiency [12][13] Investment Logic - The valuation of Xianpi Fulujia appears to be underestimated, with a pre-investment valuation of approximately 274.4 million yuan and a post-investment valuation reflecting a reasonable market position [16][17] - The investment by Mixue Group is seen as a strategic move to accelerate Xianpi Fulujia's growth in the fresh beer market, leveraging its established retail network and supply chain [16][17] - The partnership is expected to enhance both companies' market positions, enabling Xianpi Fulujia to achieve rapid nationwide expansion and establish effective pricing strategies [14][15]